Green Hydrogen Trends and Forecast
The future of the global green hydrogen market looks promising with opportunities in the power generation, transportation, industry energy, industry feedstock, and building heat & power applications. The global green hydrogen market is expected to reach an estimated $14.1 billion by 2030 with a CAGR of 43.1% from 2024 to 2030. The major drivers for this market are increasing demand for renewable energy solutions, rising government support for green hydrogen projects, and growing preference for nuclear and green hydrogen fuels.
• Lucintel forecasts that, within the technology category, alkaline electrolyzer will remain the largest segment due to its significant use in green hydrogen projects given to its longer operating hours, easy availability, and affordability.
• Within the application category, transportation will remain the largest segment due to considerable usage of hydrogen fuel cell in this sector given to its energy efficiency.
• In terms of regions, Europe will remain the largest region due to growing demand for clean hydrogen-based economy and presence of key manufacturer in the region.
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Emerging Trends in the Green Hydrogen Market
Currently, a number of disruptive developments that may define the future of the green hydrogen market are underway. These developments indicate improvements in the operational environment, changes in policies, and a greater focus on seeking alternative energy resources. It is important for stakeholders to be conversant with these trends so they can shape the changing market conditions and tap into the emerging markets.
• Cost Reduction: Cost reduction regarding the production of green hydrogen is a noteworthy trend. Positive changes in electrolyzing equipment and the reduction of costs through mass production are putting green hydrogen on par with other primary energy sources. This is an important trend for the commercialization of green hydrogen and its adoption in various applications.
• Technological Innovations: There has been an increase in the market for green hydrogen due to technological innovations. Improvements in electrolyzer systems, hydrogen storage, and advancements in fuel cell technologies are increasing the feasibility and effectiveness of green hydrogen technologies. These advancements are crucial in reinforcing the effectiveness of hydrogen production and fuel utilization.
• Policy Support and Regulation: The existence of policy support and regulation is another important trend in the green hydrogen market. Governments are providing policies and regulations that support green hydrogen industry activities. These include subsidies, tax relief, and regulatory policies that promote investment opportunities and asset development for the hydrogen industry.
• Sector Integration: Agriculture has recently emerged as an area for green hydrogen production. Today, green hydrogen is being integrated into transportation, power generation, and industrial processes. This trend shows how hydrogen can be used as a clean energy source to encourage emissions reduction in different sectors.
• International Collaboration: International collaboration has been growing with the development of the green hydrogen market. Money received by countries and companies is used to develop hydrogen technology, share knowledge, and build hydrogen value chains around the world. To speed up technology development and increase hydrogen production and distribution, such collaboration is key for market players.
These emerging trends are transforming the green hydrogen market through technological innovation, cost containment, and global trust. Gradual changes in these trends will shape the development of the green hydrogen sector and address its importance in the sustainable energy future.
Recent Developments in the Green Hydrogen Market
Recent developments in the green hydrogen market highlight significant advancements in technology, policy, and industry engagement. These developments are driving the growth of green hydrogen as a key component of global decarbonization strategies and shaping its role in the energy transition.
• Expansion of Production Facilities: The expansion of green hydrogen production facilities is a notable development. Major investments are being made in electrolyzer manufacturing and renewable energy-powered hydrogen plants. These expansions are increasing production capacity and driving down costs, making green hydrogen more accessible and competitive in the energy market.
• Government Policy Initiatives: Government policy initiatives are significantly influencing the green hydrogen market. National strategies and funding programs are supporting research, development, and deployment of hydrogen technologies. These policies are creating a favorable environment for investment and accelerating the growth of hydrogen infrastructure and applications.
• Technological Advancements: Technological advancements in green hydrogen production and storage are driving market growth. Innovations such as more efficient electrolyzers, advanced hydrogen storage solutions, and improved fuel cell technologies are enhancing the performance and scalability of green hydrogen systems. These advancements are crucial for making green hydrogen a viable energy solution.
• International Partnerships: International partnerships are expanding in the green hydrogen market. Countries and companies are collaborating on joint projects, research, and development efforts to advance hydrogen technology and create global supply chains. These partnerships are facilitating knowledge exchange, technology transfer, and market expansion.
• Increased Investment: Increased investment in green hydrogen projects is a significant development. Both public and private sectors are channeling funds into hydrogen research, infrastructure development, and commercialization efforts. This influx of investment is driving innovation, scaling up production, and accelerating the deployment of green hydrogen solutions.
These recent developments are enhancing the green hydrogen market by extending production capacities, accelerating technological development, and promoting collaboration across countries and regions. The advancements will, as they have in the past, aid in the development of green hydrogen and its integration into the global energy system.
Strategic Growth Opportunities for Green Hydrogen Market
The green hydrogen market is filled with vast potential and strategic growth opportunities in various key applications. These opportunities are driven by technological innovations, favorable policies, and the increasing demand for environment-friendly energy strategies. Stakeholders should focus on these opportunities to shape the future of the market.
• Transportation: The transportation sector holds the greatest potential for growth related to green hydrogen. Hydrogen fuel cells could replace conventional fuels used in vehicles such as buses, trucks, and trains. This growth is being supported by the development of hydrogen refueling stations and vehicle technologies, making the integration of green hydrogen into the transportation sector as an emissions reduction measure achievable.
• Industrial Applications: The focus on industrial applications of green hydrogen is crucial due to the increasing demand. For production and chemical processes, hydrogen is used as a feedstock or fuel in industries such as steelmaking and chemicals. The use of green hydrogen in these sectors will positively impact the reduction of greenhouse gases and align with industrial decarbonization efforts.
• Power Generation: Another segment with high growth potential is power generation with hydrogen-powered plants. Hydrogen may be used for electricity generation in gas turbines or fuel cells while maintaining environmental standards. Integrating green hydrogen into power generation systems further stabilizes the grid and contributes to achieving renewable energy targets.
• Energy Storage: Within the framework of renewable hydrogen, there are developments in energy storage. Excess renewable energy can be converted into hydrogen and stored for use during times of low renewable energy generation. Hydrogen, as a stored energy source, has great prospects, with new developments in storage mechanisms enhancing its versatility.
• Export Markets: Export markets for green hydrogen are expanding rapidly. Countries rich in green energy are turning to hydrogen production for export to nations with larger energy markets. To meet the growing demand for hydrogen in the international market, the development of hydrogen export facilities and international trading policies is essential.
Expansion strategies clearly indicate areas where further development is needed in the green hydrogen market. Focusing on transportation, industrial applications, power generation, energy storage, and export markets enables stakeholders to harness changing trends and meet the growing demand for green hydrogen solutions.
Green Hydrogen Market Driver and Challenges
The development of the green hydrogen market and its characteristics depend on a number of drivers and challenges. These drivers and challenges encompass technology, regulation, economics, and the market itself. Understanding these factors helps stakeholders identify opportunities and navigate challenges.
The factors driving the green hydrogen market include:
• Technological Advancements: Technological innovations are a major driver of growth in the green hydrogen market. Improvements in the efficiency of electrolyzer systems, hydrogen storage solutions, and fuel cell technologies are making green hydrogen cheaper and more effective. These advancements are increasing competition in the market and expanding the range of applications for green hydrogen.
• Government Policies: Government policies are crucial for the growth of the green hydrogen market. National policies, grants, and regulatory frameworks support the implementation and use of hydrogen technologies. These policies make it easier for investors and accelerate the proliferation of green hydrogen technology.
• Greater Investment: Investment in green hydrogen projects is growing. Both public and private sectors are funding research and development, as well as the commercialization of hydrogen technologies. This financial backing is fostering innovation, increasing production capacity, and expanding the green hydrogen market.
• Environmental Impact: Concerns about climate change are driving the green hydrogen market. Countries and corporations are focusing on reducing CO2 emissions for effective energy usage and addressing greenhouse gases, with hydrogen offering a solution. As environmental awareness grows, so does the demand for hydrogen.
Energy Security: Energy security concerns are central to the green hydrogen market. Hydrogen allows for a shift in energy supply, reducing dependence on carbon-based resources. With countries looking for greater energy stability and resilience, green hydrogen is rapidly becoming an integral part of energy strategies.
Challenges in the green hydrogen market include:
• High Production Costs: High production costs pose a significant barrier to the development of green hydrogen. Electrolyzers, renewable power, and hydrogen infrastructure all incur substantial costs, limiting the economic feasibility of such projects. Reducing production costs is essential for green hydrogen to compete with other traditional energy sources.
• Infrastructure Development: Building hydrogen infrastructure is a major challenge. Constructing refueling stations, storage units, and transport links requires significant investment and cooperation. Expanding hydrogen infrastructure is critical to keeping pace with new hydrogen technologies.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: Regulatory uncertainty hinders the green hydrogen market. Conflicting legal acts and volatile policies make it difficult for market players. To stimulate investment and encourage further development, it is essential to provide stable and supportive policies for investors.
The driving forces and barriers in the green hydrogen market are explained here, showing how they influence market development. Technological advancements, government intervention, and new funding are driving growth, while high production costs, infrastructure challenges, and regulatory risks pose obstacles. Addressing these challenges is crucial for the success of green hydrogen in the energy market.
List of Green Hydrogen Companies
Companies in the market compete on the basis of product quality offered. Major players in this market focus on expanding their manufacturing facilities, R&D investments, infrastructural development, and leverage integration opportunities across the value chain. With these strategies green hydrogen companies cater increasing demand, ensure competitive effectiveness, develop innovative products & technologies, reduce production costs, and expand their customer base. Some of the green hydrogen companies profiled in this report include-
• Air Liquide
• Air Products
• Bloom Energy
• Cummins
• Engie
• Linde
• Nel
• Siemens Energy
• Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions
• Uniper
Green Hydrogen by Segment
The study includes a forecast for the global green hydrogen by source, technology, distribution channel, application, and region.
Green Hydrogen Market by Source [Analysis by Value from 2018 to 2030]:
• Solar
• Wind
• Others
Green Hydrogen Market by Technology [Analysis by Value from 2018 to 2030]:
• Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolyzer
• Alkaline Electrolyzer
• Solid Oxide Electrolyzer
• Others
Green Hydrogen Market by Distribution Channel [Analysis by Value from 2018 to 2030]:
• Pipeline
• Cargo
Green Hydrogen Market by Application [Analysis by Value from 2018 to 2030]:
• Power Generation
• Transportation
• Industry Energy
• Industry Feedstock
• Building Heat & Power
• Others
Green Hydrogen Market by Region [Analysis by Value from 2018 to 2030]:
• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• The Rest of the World
Country Wise Outlook for the Green Hydrogen Market
The green hydrogen market is evolving rapidly as countries turn to clean energy sources to address climate concerns and reduce carbon footprints. Technological breakthroughs, favorable policies, and greater investment are accelerating the adoption of green hydrogen initiatives. The US, China, India, and Japan are emerging as key regional markets as they increase green hydrogen production and build out supply chains.
• United States: In the US, the federal government and private investors are promoting the growth of the green hydrogen industry. Recent developments include the establishment of more extensive green hydrogen production plants and improvements in electrolyzer technology. The US Department of Energy (DOE) has also launched programs aimed at reducing green hydrogen production costs and applying it in industries such as transportation and manufacturing. State-level incentives and collaborations are fostering innovation and expanding hydrogen infrastructure.
• China: China is focused on reducing carbon emissions and increasing green hydrogen production. The country has announced significant investments in hydrogen production, as well as the development of related infrastructure such as large electrolyzer plants and hydrogen refueling stations. Heavy industries and the transportation sector in China are also targeting green hydrogen projects, with the goal of becoming a global leader in hydrogen technology. Government policies and subsidies are supporting this growth, with a focus on both domestic and international markets.
• India: India is positioning itself as a key player in the energy transition, with a focus on green hydrogen. New initiatives include the National Hydrogen Mission, which aims to increase green hydrogen production and system support. India is leveraging its renewable energy potential and forming partnerships with international companies. The country is also exploring the use of green hydrogen for transportation and industrial purposes.
• Japan: Japan is pursuing green hydrogen projects, focusing on technology development and international collaboration. Recent developments include increased investment in hydrogen production systems such as electrolyzers and fuel cells. Japan is also working on hydrogen supply chains and associated infrastructure, including hydrogen refueling stations and depots. Government strategies are driving innovation and positioning Japan at the forefront of the global hydrogen market.
Features of the Global Green Hydrogen Market
Market Size Estimates: Green hydrogen market size estimation in terms of value ($B).
Trend and Forecast Analysis: Market trends (2018 to 2023) and forecast (2024 to 2030) by various segments and regions.
Segmentation Analysis: Green hydrogen market size by various segments, such as by source, technology, distribution channel, application, and region in terms of ($B).
Regional Analysis: Green hydrogen market breakdown by North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of the World.
Growth Opportunities: Analysis of growth opportunities in different sources, technologies, distribution channels, applications, and regions for the green hydrogen market.
Strategic Analysis: This includes M&A, new product development, and competitive landscape of the green hydrogen market.
Analysis of competitive intensity of the industry based on Porter’s Five Forces model.
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FAQ
Q.1 What is the green hydrogen market size?
Answer: The global green hydrogen market is expected to reach an estimated $14.1 billion by 2030.
Q.2 What is the growth forecast for green hydrogen market?
Answer: The global green hydrogen market is expected to grow with a CAGR of 43.1% from 2024 to 2030.
Q.3 What are the major drivers influencing the growth of the green hydrogen market?
Answer: The major drivers for this market are increasing demand for renewable energy solutions, rising government support for green hydrogen projects, and growing preference for nuclear and green hydrogen fuels.
Q4. What are the major segments for green hydrogen market?
Answer: The future of the green hydrogen market looks promising with opportunities in the power generation, transportation, industry energy, industry feedstock, and building heat & power applications.
Q5. Who are the key green hydrogen market companies?
Answer: Some of the key green hydrogen companies are as follows:
• Air Liquide
• Air Products
• Bloom Energy
• Cummins
• Engie
• Linde
• Nel
• Siemens Energy
• Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions
• Uniper
Q6. Which green hydrogen market segment will be the largest in future?
Answer: Lucintel forecasts that alkaline electrolyzer will remain the largest segment due to its significant use in green hydrogen projects given to its longer operating hours, easy availability, and affordability.
Q7. In green hydrogen market, which region is expected to be the largest in next 5 years?
Answer: Europe will remain the largest region due to growing demand for clean hydrogen-based economy and presence of key manufacturer in the region.
Q.8 Do we receive customization in this report?
Answer: Yes, Lucintel provides 10% customization without any additional cost.
This report answers following 11 key questions:
Q.1. What are some of the most promising, high-growth opportunities for the green hydrogen market by source (solar, wind, and others), technology (proton exchange membrane electrolyzer, alkaline electrolyzer, solid oxide electrolyzer, and others), distribution channel (pipeline and cargo), application (power generation, transportation, industry energy, industry feedstock, building heat & power, and others), and region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World)?
Q.2. Which segments will grow at a faster pace and why?
Q.3. Which region will grow at a faster pace and why?
Q.4. What are the key factors affecting market dynamics? What are the key challenges and business risks in this market?
Q.5. What are the business risks and competitive threats in this market?
Q.6. What are the emerging trends in this market and the reasons behind them?
Q.7. What are some of the changing demands of customers in the market?
Q.8. What are the new developments in the market? Which companies are leading these developments?
Q.9. Who are the major players in this market? What strategic initiatives are key players pursuing for business growth?
Q.10. What are some of the competing products in this market and how big of a threat do they pose for loss of market share by material or product substitution?
Q.11. What M&A activity has occurred in the last 5 years and what has its impact been on the industry?
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